Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5289 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OH 5289 · DCA → HPN

departs 1:23 AM ET · arrives 2:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HPN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

HPN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5289 · DCA → HPN

Odds over time