OH 5308 · CLT → OAJ

departs 5:52 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at OAJ more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAJ?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OAJ that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ OAJ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.83 in

OAJ (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.99 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5308 · CLT → OAJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAJ?