Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
OH 5415 · PHL → MEM
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.