OH 5466 · SGF → CLT

took off 5:55 PM CT · expected to land 8:24 PM ET (scheduled 5:34 PM CT → 8:48 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at CLT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5466 · SGF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?