OH 5470 · ATW → CLT

departs 5:17 PM CT · arrives 8:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5470 · ATW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?