OH 5491 · ROA → CLT

took off 2:14 PM ET · landed 3:01 PM ET (scheduled 1:57 PM ET → 3:08 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ROA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ ROA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ROA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.92 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5491 · ROA → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?