Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5504 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

OH 5504 · CLT → GSP

departs 10:55 PM ET · arrives 11:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at GSP that day

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ GSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

GSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5504 · CLT → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?