OH 5518 · CLT → EWN

departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at EWN more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWN?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at EWN that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

EWN (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5518 · CLT → EWN

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWN?