Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5543 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

departs 10:28 AM ET · arrives 12:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from PHL are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?