Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5543 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

departs 10:28 AM ET · arrives 12:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.39 in

XNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?