Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5543 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

OH 5543 · XNA → PHL

departs 1:01 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5543 · XNA → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?