Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5549 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

OH 5549 · CLT → IAD

departs 8:31 PM ET · arrives 10:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ IAD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

IAD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5549 · CLT → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?