tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5581 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

OH 5581 · RDU → DCA

departs 10:39 AM ET · arrives 11:59 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
23% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.