OH 5584 · CLT → TYS

took off 4:38 PM ET · expected to land 5:09 PM ET (scheduled 4:29 PM ET → 5:39 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

TYS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5584 · CLT → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?