OH 5588 · AVL → CLT

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AVL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.51 in

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5588 · AVL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?