Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5649 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5649 · CLT → ECP

departs 5:37 PM ET · arrives 6:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.39 in

ECP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5649 · CLT → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?