OO 285 · CLT → BHM

departs 6:01 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 285 · CLT → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?