Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
OO 3044 · STS → SEA
departs 5:35 PM PT · arrives 7:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 26%
Fri 10/9 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STS
Weather at each end
STS (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.