Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 3044 · STS → SEA
departs 7:23 PM PT · arrives 9:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.