Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3467 · SNA → STS
departs 11:48 AM PT · arrives 1:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at STS that day
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.