Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 3467 · SNA → STS
departs 11:48 AM PT · arrives 1:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from SNA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at STS that day
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.