OO 3838 · MSP → OMA

took off 1:34 PM CT · landed 2:27 PM CT (scheduled 11:45 AM CT → 1:11 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OMA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

OMA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3838 · MSP → OMA

Odds over time

How late did it get to OMA?