Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3920 · GRB → MSP
departs 12:04 PM CT · arrives 1:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave GRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRB
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GRB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.