Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3924 · ASE → ATL
departs 7:30 AM MT · arrives 1:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.