Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 3924 · ASE → ATL
departs 7:30 AM MT · arrives 1:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.