Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3946 · FAR → ATL
departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 10:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.