Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 3946 · FAR → ATL
departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 10:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at FAR that day
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.