Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4177
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4177 · MFE → AUS
departs 12:35 PM CT · arrives 2:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
12pm departures from MFE are usually not late
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.68 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.