OO 4229 · MSP → HIB

took off 9:25 AM CT · landed 10:01 AM CT (scheduled 9:10 AM CT → 10:16 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HIB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HIB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HIB

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into HIB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

HIB (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4229 · MSP → HIB

Odds over time

How late did it get to HIB?