OO 4232 · DTW → APN

took off 4:39 PM ET · landed 5:19 PM ET (scheduled 4:00 PM ET → 5:11 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at APN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to APN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

APN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4232 · DTW → APN

Odds over time

How late did it get to APN?