Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
OO 4296 · XWA → MSP
departs 5:53 AM CT · arrives 7:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave XWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at XWA that day
Weather at each end
XWA (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.