Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4708
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4708 · SFO → ACV
departs 10:17 AM PT · arrives 11:44 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1 39%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ACV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ACV?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at ACV that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ACV (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.