Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 4923 · IAH → DFW
departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 56%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.