Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4923 · IAH → DFW
departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 75%
Sat 10/3 51%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.17 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.