Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5086 · IAH → HEZ
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at HEZ more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HEZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HEZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HEZ?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↑
Arrivals into HEZ at that hour are often late
↓
HEZ usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
HEZ (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 967 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.