Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5086 · IAH → HEZ
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at HEZ more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HEZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at HEZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HEZ?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at HEZ that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
HEZ usually runs smoothly
↓
HEZ is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
HEZ (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.