Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5092
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5092 · IAH → VCT
departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at VCT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VCT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at VCT that day
↑
Other factors
↓
VCT usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.60 in
VCT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.