Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5110 · AEX → IAH
departs 9:43 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 667 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.32 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.