Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5110 · AEX → IAH
departs 9:43 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 26%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±2 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at AEX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.70 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.