Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5128 · MGM → IAH
departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
↓
MGM is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MGM (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.22 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.