Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5413 · IAH → TUL
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.15 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.