Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5413 · IAH → TUL
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at TUL that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.