Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5493
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5493 · ASE → IAH
departs 11:43 AM MT · arrives 3:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.60 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.