Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5493
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5493 · ASE → IAH
departs 11:43 AM MT · arrives 3:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.