Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5506
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5506 · DEN → ACV
departs 11:20 AM MT · arrives 1:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ACV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ACV?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at ACV that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ACV (destination)
Gusts 4 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.