Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
OO 5915 · MBS → ORD
departs 1:58 PM ET · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 21%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.