Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 6012 · JAX → ORD
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 32%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.