Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6070
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 6070 · CKB → IAD
departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave CKB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CKB that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
0.2 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↓
Arrivals into IAD at that hour are usually not late
↓
CKB is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CKB (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.28 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 2,967 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.