UA 1061 · ORD → AUS

departs 11:47 AM CT · arrives 2:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1061 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?