UA 1450 · DCA → IAH

took off 7:15 AM ET · landed 9:03 AM CT (scheduled 6:00 AM ET → 8:13 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DCA are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.42 in

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1450 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?